Sunday, March 12, 2006

Sharp debate over ideology

The New York Times
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March 12, 2006

A Sharp Debate Erupts in China Over Ideologies

BEIJING, March 11 — For the first time in perhaps a decade, the National People's Congress, the Communist Party-run legislature now convened in its annual two-week session, is consumed with an ideological debate over socialism and capitalism that many assumed had been buried by China's long streak of fast economic growth.

The controversy has forced the government to shelve a draft law to protect property rights that had been expected to win pro forma passage and highlighted the resurgent influence of a small but vocal group of socialist-leaning scholars and policy advisers. These old-style leftist thinkers have used China's rising income gap and increasing social unrest to raise doubts about what they see as the country's headlong pursuit of private wealth and market-driven economic development.

The roots of the current debate can be traced to a biting critique of the property rights law that circulated on the Internet last summer. The critique's author, Gong Xiantian, a professor at Beijing University Law School, accused the legal experts who wrote the draft of "copying capitalist civil law like slaves," and offering equal protection to "a rich man's car and a beggar man's stick." Most of all, he protested that the proposed law did not state that "socialist property is inviolable," a once sacred legal concept in China.

Those who dismissed his attack as a throwback to an earlier era underestimated the continued appeal of socialist ideas in a country where glaring disparities between rich and poor, rampant corruption, labor abuses and land seizures offer daily reminders of how far China has strayed from its official ideology.

"Our government only moves forward when it feels there is a strong consensus," said Mao Shoulong, a public policy specialist at People's University in Beijing. "Right now, the consensus is eroding and there is a debate over ideology, which we haven't seen for some time."

The divide does not appear likely to derail China's market-led growth. President Hu Jintao, in what Chinese political experts and party members said was a clear reference to the debate, told legislative delegates last week that China must "unshakably persist with economic reform."

China has generally stuck by its market-opening commitments to the World Trade Organization. Wen Jiabao, the prime minister, has allowed billions of dollars in foreign investment to flow into the once tightly protected financial sector.

Legislative officials insist that the proposed law, which has taken eight years to prepare and is intended to codify a more expansive notion of property rights added to the Constitution in 2003, will sooner or later be enacted, though possibly with some significant modifications.

But Mr. Hu and Mr. Wen wittingly or unwittingly invited the debate when they made tackling growing inequality a center of their propaganda efforts, political analysts say. The state-run news media are abuzz with calls to make "social equity" the focus of economic policy, replacing the earlier leadership's emphasis on rapid growth and wealth creation.

Since his rise to power in 2002, Mr. Hu has also tried to establish his leftist credentials, extolling Marxism, praising Mao and bankrolling research to make the country's official but often ignored socialist ideology more relevant to the current era.

He told party leaders in 2004 to study how Cuba and North Korea maintained political order, party officials say. And he has tried to distance himself from his predecessor, Jiang Zemin, who invited private businessmen to join the Communist Party and was viewed as permitting well-connected officials to enrich themselves with public property at the expense of the poor.

"Hu is himself a centrist who is not really pursuing one agenda or the other," observed a party official who said he could be punished for talking about leadership politics if he were quoted by name. "But he did pull us to the left to restore balance, and that gave the old guard an opportunity it has not had in years."

As a result, analysts say, the leadership may find it harder to pursue market-oriented solutions to some pressing problems, like providing health care to rural residents, grappling with rampant corruption in the state sector, expanding access to education and overhauling banks, insurance and securities companies.

Beijing's new plan to address its rural woes, labeled "building a new socialist countryside," promises an infusion of government cash for peasants and rural areas. But it steers clear of tackling some restrictions on economic activity, like a ban on private land sales in the countryside, that many pro-market economists say have left peasants economically disenfranchised.

"My impression is that allowing an expanded role for the market in education and health care is off the table," said Mr. Mao, the People's University policy expert. "Rural land ownership is also too sensitive to consider now."

The tensions reflect rising concern that breakneck growth averaging nearly 10 percent annually over 20 years has left China richer but also dirtier and, by the standards of the one-party state, politically volatile.

Corruption, pollution, land seizures and arbitrary fees and taxes are among the leading causes of a surge in social unrest. Riots have become a fixture of rural life in China — more than 200 "mass incidents of unrest" occurred each day in 2004, police statistics show — undermining the party's insistence on social stability.

Many Western and some Chinese experts have argued that these problems stem from China's authoritarian political system, and that they will not easily go away until people have a greater say in how they are governed. But the Communist Party and many left-leaning scholars reject that view. They say the ills are caused by capitalist excesses and rising inequality, which they say requires that the government reassert itself in economic affairs.

One measurement of inequality, the gap between the average incomes of urban and rural residents, has risen to about 3.3 to 1, according to the United Nations Development Program, higher than similar measures in the United States and one of the world's highest. A study by the party's Central Research Office estimates that the ratio could rise to 4 to 1 by 2020 if current trends continue, a level some Chinese economists say could incite wider social turmoil.

Such political fears seemed to give an opening to critics who felt economic policies had strayed too far toward capitalism. The strength of leftist opposition had faded throughout the 1990's after Deng Xiaoping, who called economic development "hard truth," and later Mr. Jiang tolerated little ideological discussion of the direction of changes.

Liu Guoguang, a Marxist economist and a former vice director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, stimulated an outpouring of opinions about inequality last summer when he gave a private talk that was transcribed and posted on the Internet. His talk supported the emphasis on growth and development but called for a much larger role for the government in managing economic affairs.

In a subsequent interview with Business Watch, a state-run magazine, Mr. Liu said, "If you establish a market economy in a place like China, where the rule of law is imperfect, if you do not emphasize the socialist spirit of fairness and social responsibility, then the market economy you establish is going to be an elitist market economy."

He has been joined by other scholars, including Mr. Gong, whose incendiary polemic on the property law prompted a succession of sympathetic essays and study sessions.

Also contributing to the response is the Hong Kong-based economist Lang Xianping, who has used a television show to pillory what he describes as raids on state assets by managers and foreign investors.

One top official who has come under scrutiny is Zhou Xiaochuan, the central bank governor and a promoter of market initiatives. Mr. Zhou attracted foreign investment to the financial sector, partly delinked China's currency from the United States dollar and steered the three biggest state-owned banks toward stock market listings overseas.

Mr. Zhou was attacked directly in a widely circulated Hong Kong newspaper article and indirectly by commentators in Beijing, who accuse financial officials of selling China's most valuable assets too cheaply.

Ji Baocheng, president of People's University in Beijing, criticized Mr. Zhou's banking changes in a public session of the legislature last week. He cited the big Hong Kong stock market listing of China Construction Bank, which was completed after the government injected billions of dollars to clean up its balance sheet.

Mr. Ji said the government priced shares in the bank too low, given the fresh infusion of capital, and he accused officials of "blindly sacrificing the interests of China and its people."

The government defends the overseas listings as a necessary step to raise capital, attract foreign experts to the boards and executive offices of the troubled banks and put the financial system on sounder footing.

Some pro-market economists, who seemed ascendant in the 1990's and early in this decade and now often sound defensive, have denounced the leftist revival as dangerous. Many also criticize the Hu-Wen administration for micromanaging investment and bank loans, tinkering with property and stock markets and declining to extend market-oriented policies to the countryside.

Zhou Ruijing, a retired newspaper editor associated with the pro-market camp, captured the sentiment in a January magazine essay.

"A widening gap between rich and poor is not the fault of market reforms," he wrote. "It's the natural result of them, which is neither good nor bad, but quite predictable."

Sunday, March 05, 2006

The world is flat

Tom Friedman in his book The World is Flat describes the global playing field is being leveld at lightning speed compared to what human history had witnessed in all its existence. This leveling trend however was first observed and predicted by Karl Marx in his Communist Manifesto -- The inexorable march of technology and capital to remove all barriers, boundaries frictions and restraints to global commerce. This is consistent with your view. But capital, as we to some degree observe today, will win the upper hand in the struggle against labor. Economic mobility will always exist, but so limited that the majority will awaken to the reality sooner or later, disillusioned. The American dream and alike can set a dam against the historical trend, but the force of history and the force of class struggle will in the end break the dam with awful determination and resolution.

A few excerpts from the book:

Marx described capitalism as a force that would dissoolve all feudal, national, and religious identities giving rise to a universal civilization governed by market imperatives. Marx considered it inveitable that captial would have its way -- inevitable and also desirable. Because once capitalism destroyed all national and religious allegiances, Marx thought, it would lay bare the stark struggle between captal and labor. Forced to compete in a global race to the bottom, the workers of the world would unite in a global revolution to end oppression. Deprived of consoling distractions such as patriotism and to religion, they would see their exploitation clearly and rise up to end it.

BAT

The following scribbles were jotted down before / during / after my BAT trip to Munich, Kitzbuhel and Vienna.

Jan. 7, 06 9pm Shanghai

Back from dinner with Julie at Lan Xin. She apparently did not enjoy the food as much as I did, especially the "oil fried shrimps." But I took her by surprise with a nice swarovski necklace. It is a beautiful necklace with a simple but elegant crystal -- exactly the way she likes it. I hope it goes well with her dress as she had hoped such a necklace for her dress.

Car was already waiting in front of my house by the time I got back. There was certianly plenty of time to catch my flight -- I had already packed for the trip, and hence we left well ahead of the takeoff time.

Ride to the airport was predicatbly uneventful. Flight was however overbooked. I waited for half an hour and finally got a seat. Sitting next to me is this girl from Shanghai, but living and working in Switzerland. She was quite interesting to talk to. She told me everything about the hospital she works at and her neaplese boyfriend that she is about to marry.

Quickly time passed and we landed in Germany Here I am, Munich!

Jan. 8, 06 6:20am Munich

Customs officer apparently did not like the sight of a Chinese tourist going skiing in Kitzbuhel. Despite his repeated inquires, I stuck my version of ths story that I caome to ski and a taxi was waiting outside to take me to Kitzbuhel. Unable to press further, he eventually bulged. With a stamp in my passport, I finally stepped on the German soil for a 2nd time.

Air was brisk and sky dark. Unexpectedly, English was not easily spotted on street signs and public instructions. With much trouble, I located the train station, but could not figure out how to buy a proper ticket. A nice guy came along and offerred to help.

Interestingly, as soon as I mentioned Kitzbuhel, he immediately asked if I worked for McKinsey. Our training site is apparently well known to those that frequent the town of Kitzbuhel often. Is it a good or bad thing? I am yet to find out. He suggested that I ride the train to Marienplatz then walk to Hauptbahnof later. Also he suggested that I get Weibwurste at eiter Spaten or Franziskaner

Off the train, I looked and walkd everywhere. Munich is still the old Munich. Finally I sat down at Spaten for breakfast near Residenz Munchern. It became clear that a free walking map and English were all that I needed to get around this city. =) Sitting at breakfast table, I made up my mind about returning to Marienplatz to film the 11am dancing dolls in the cucooned clock.

From Marienplatz, I headed to the Hauptbahnhof to get my lift to Kitzbuhel. (I dont know why, but I wrote in my journal here in Chinese 总是在不可能的瞬间看到生命的火花)

Kitzbuhel is incredibly beautiful. The Alps quietly lies outside of my windows, like a peaceful mongster wearing his favorite wite tux and acting in its beset manner to match the ambience.

Manner is what I am lacking. The very first night I was in Kitzbuhel, I got piss drunk with Andrew Fraiser and acted absolutedly ridiculously at the Londoner. Simona, the owner of the Londoner, was fond of me. And I spoke to some Austrian women for the first time in my life.

Jan. 9, 06

Uneventful. Boring. Nothing to report. Except for dinner. I sat there eating, but all a sudden I realized my eyes were closed. I fell asleep while eating!

Jan. 10, 06

I flirted with the only female in sight -- Natalie the bartender. She was fun to chat with and was quite agressive in forcing drinks down us. An hour into the conversation, she asked if I was single. Excited, I immediately became. With a show of hands, I tried to prove that I am still single. Dont call me naive. In such a situation, I can only logically assume that my hour-long flirtation with Natalie is about to pay off. Her response was shocking to me though -- "I can now see why..."

Jan. 11, 06

It says Kings in my notebook. It probably refers to the drinking game we played. Lots of rules I do not recall. but clearly I was holding Debra's hand for a good part of the night.

Jan. 12, 06

I took a nap before the closing gala. But unfortunately did not wake up until the second morning. This is the only night in Kitzbuhel I was not drunk.

Jan. 13, 06

Boarded a train, I am off to Vienna. Vienna turned out to be a little boring. Probably because I was travelling by myself. The only highlight was probably the opera at the opera house and all those pictures I took. 5 other Italian guys stayed with me in the same hostel room. After all I am still a cheapa if I am travelling on my own expenses.